The budget deficit, the debt ceiling, and tax reform are givens. We know that those battles will continue to be in the political spotlight throughout 2013.
But what else will be front and center in the New Year?
Here are five other things to keep your eyes on:
1. Gun control: The shootings in Newtown have moved gun control to the top of the “to do” list for the White House and many in Congress. While past mass killings have stirred talk of gun control, the killing of 20 young children and six adults at Sandy Hook Elementary School by a man armed with a semi-automatic rifle seems to have changed public opinion.
“A discussion has reemerged as to what we might do not only to deter mass shootings in the future but to reduce the epidemic of gun violence that plagues this country every single day and it’s encouraging that people of all different backgrounds and beliefs and political persuasions have been willing to challenge some old assumptions and change long-standing positions. That conversation has to continue but this time, the words need to lead to action,” said the president, vowing to take action.
While there’s action Obama can take through executive orders, the big question centers on what Congress will do and whether lawmakers will buck the National Rifle Association and push through new gun control measures early in 2013.
2. Immigration reform: At a news conference in November soon after his re-election, the president said that he expected an immigration reform bill would be introduced soon after his inauguration, adding that “we need to seize the moment.”
Obama told reporters that he hoped for a comprehensive bill that would include border security, enforcement measures for companies that employ undocumented workers, and resolving the status of the 11 million illegal immigrants living in the United States.
“I am very confident we can get immigration reform done,” added the president.
And this time around, he may have support from some Republican lawmakers, who acknowledge that after their crushing defeat by the president among Latino voters in the November election (National exit polls indicate the president captured more than 70 percent of the Latino vote), it’s time for the GOP to consider compromise on the issue of immigration reform.
3. Future of the GOP: As Republicans try to rebound from a disappointing 2012 election, where they failed to pick up the White House or win back the Senate, there seem to be two game plans. Some in the GOP have called for a “bigger tent” party that would be more representative and inclusive of the changing demographics of American voters. Others say moderating is the wrong way to go, and that the party needs to stay true to its conservative roots.
How this discussion plays out in 2013 and beyond will be fascinating to watch.
We could see some recommendations from the report start to surface in late January, when the party committee holds its annual meeting in Charlotte.
4. Campaign politics: Who says there’s no real action on the campaign trail the year after a presidential election? We’ve always got gubernatorial elections to watch in New Jersey and Virginia the year after the race for the White House.
And both should be very interesting this time. Virginia is shaping up to be a battle between Republican Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, a tea party-backed and controversial conservative, and Terry McAuliffe, the often outspoken former chairman of the Democratic National Committee.
The New Jersey race may not be as riveting now that Newark’s Democratic Mayor Corey Booker decided against a bid. But the fact that the Republican candidate is the tough talking popular governor, Chris Christie, means that we’ll have a full year of watching him on the campaign trail and a full year to wonder if his re-election bid is just a warm up act for a 2016 attempt at higher office.
But wait, there’s more. Thanks to the president’s nomination of Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts to succeed Hillary Clinton as secretary of state, it looks like we’ll have a special election in June 2013 to fill the final year and a half of Kerry’s term. And that could give outgoing Republican Sen. Scott Brown, who was just defeated in the November election, a chance to return to the Senate. Meanwhile, three Democratic congressmen are already making moves to run for Kerry’s seat. All the action up in Boston will draw national attention.
If that’s not enough, we already have three special elections in 2013 to fill vacant House seats.
5. The race for 2016: Call this the pre pre-season.
While Hillary Clinton hasn’t decided whether she’ll run again for the White House, expect speculation about her future political plans to intensify throughout the new year.
Same thing, on a lower level, for Vice President Joe Biden.
On the Republican side, we’re already starting to look at Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, Rep. Paul Ryan of Wisconsin, Gov. Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida, former GOP presidential candidate Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania, and Christie, through the 2016 prism.
