The healthcare industry often changes at a slow pace, and one issue that remains a problem is workforce shortages.
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The healthcare industry often changes at a slow pace, and one issue that remains a problem is workforce shortages.
Burnout — driven by the pandemic’s strain on hospitals and other care providers — has caused physicians and nurses to leave the profession.
According to the Association of Medical Colleges, the U.S. could be short 48,000 primary care physicians by 2034.
And, according to the American Medical Association, one-fifth of the doctors in a 2022 survey said they will likely leave their current practice within the next 24 months, while one-third of doctors intend to reduce their work hours within the next year.
Filling open positions will be among the key challenges faced by the healthcare sector in 2023, in addition to a challenging financial environment, industry leaders said.
While Connecticut hospitals saw substantial revenue gains in 2021, last year proved to be more challenging as federal pandemic relief diminished, patient volumes remained sluggish and workforce shortages and inflation caused financial headaches.
The Hartford Business Journal recently asked four top healthcare leaders what key trends will impact the local industry in 2023. They included Kurt Barwis, president and CEO of Bristol Health, which oversees Bristol Hospital; Jeffrey Flaks, president and CEO of Hartford HealthCare; Roberta Wachtelhausen, president of WellSpark Health; and David Hass, president of the Connecticut State Medical Society.
Here are the top healthcare trends to watch in 2023.
Physician availability
In 2023, experts believe Connecticut will continue to see a decrease in the number of physicians across all areas of clinical practice. It’s an issue of concern for the Connecticut State Medical Society, which represents and lobbies for Connecticut doctors.
“These shortages are and will continue to be particularly evident within the disciplines of psychiatry and primary care,” Hass said.
Connecticut has struggled for some time to attract and keep physicians, Hass said, noting that the state ranks 47th in the country in retaining physicians it trains.
Why?
There are several factors, Hass said, causing doctors to leave, including Connecticut’s high cost of living, burdensome malpractice standards and limited loan forgiveness programs.
Private equity’s influence
A 2019 study by the Physician’s Advocacy Institute (PAI) found that 20.2% of physician practices in Connecticut partnered with a corporate investor, including a private equity firm or insurer. By 2022, that number had increased to 25%.
It’s likely the trend will continue as the industry’s consolidation wave remains active, and aging, independent doctors increasingly reach retirement age and look for a buyer for their practice.

While Hass said there can be positive aspects to private equity investments in physician practices, there are also concerns.
“The overarching concern is the prioritization of corporate profits over the quality of medical care provided,” Hass said.
As the state continues to experience a decline in independent physician practices, Hass said: “We will inevitably see further injection of private equity funding, as physicians are faced with the options of closing a practice, joining a larger healthcare system, or accepting an equity infusion from private equity.”
Financial challenges
Hospital executives said they are experiencing significant financial headwinds as reimbursements from government and commercial insurance payers haven’t kept up with rising costs, leading to financial losses for some, including large health systems and small independent care providers.
Meanwhile, insurers have pointed the finger at hospitals, pharmaceutical companies and others for the rising cost of care that has led to higher premiums for employers and individuals.
In September, Connecticut health insurers received approval from state regulators to increase their 2023 fully insured rates 20.4% across individual plans and 14.8% across small group policies.
Connecticut Insurance Department Commissioner Andrew Mais blamed the “skyrocketing cost of health care” for the increases.
There’s also been turmoil in the small group insurance market, as two major insurers — ConnectiCare and Harvard Pilgrim Health Care — last year announced plans to stop selling small group fully insured policies, leaving only a handful of competitors remaining.
Among the challenges hospitals face, Barwis said, are revenue losses from the evaporation of federal COVID-relief funds and patient demand for certain services still not returning to pre-pandemic levels.

Rising costs from wage increases and supply chain issues have also impacted hospital bottom lines, he said.
“Predicting, budgeting and planning for 2023 is beyond difficult for hospitals and health systems,” Barwis said. “The negative financial trend for smaller independent systems will continue in 2023.”
Barwis’ hospital felt the effects of the pandemic and inflation in 2022, eliminating 31 positions in June. Bristol Hospital’s executive team also took a voluntary 8% salary reduction.
Layoffs hit the biggest systems as well. Yale New Haven Health announced in September that it cut 155 management jobs amid a projected $250-million fiscal year 2022 deficit.
Transforming the payment model
For decades, payment for healthcare services has been based almost entirely on volume — a “fee-for-service” model that many have blamed for rising care costs.
Some Connecticut healthcare leaders have advocated shifting to a model that rewards quality care at the lowest possible price.
Getting there has been a challenge because it requires greater risk sharing between insurers and care providers, spurring contract negotiations that can become contentious.
“Basing healthcare payment on value, not volume, requires a willingness to disrupt traditional hospital-based care,” said Hartford HealthCare’s Flaks. “It demands an infrastructure that creates less costly, appropriate access through ambulatory surgery centers, outpatient imaging centers and urgent care options. And, it means embracing alternative payment models that reward outcomes and performance.”
Flaks said HHC has been moving from a facility-based model to a networked system of care, involving greater investment and reliance on community-based and employed clinicians, and accepting payment based on defined outcomes, like the measures required by Medicaid.
Flaks said the trend “will accelerate and be aided by new technologies that help patients get exactly the right care, at the right time, in the most effective — and affordable — manner.”
Employee support services
Worker mental health remains a big issue coming out of the pandemic and employers that want to retain workers amid the labor shortage need to focus on employee support services.
WellSpark Health’s Wachtelhausen said employers must “empathize with these employees and provide the proper support and resources they need to perform at their jobs while still being able to care for their loved ones and avoid burnout.”

Companies should revisit paid time off policies and other specialty benefits such as child-care and eldercare reimbursements to ensure they meet the modern, post-pandemic workforce, she said.
Supervisors, Wachtelhausen added, must also embrace flexibility, and allow remote work and promote telehealth services when needed.
“This approach will lead to improved organizational culture, happier employees, and better results,” she said.
